Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Williams E.
50'
50'
Sheriff D.
67'
67'
Eze D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dover Ath.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chesham lately — more wins on the board than Dover Ath..
- Model gives Chesham a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesham | Dover Ath. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Dover Ath.
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Chesham
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Dover Ath.
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Eze D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Oliyide K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Dover Ath. Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sheriff D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesham 65 / 100
Dover Ath. 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesham Dover Ath.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesham found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Dover Ath. conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Chesham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chesham VS Dover Ath.
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesham
(Home) 08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
22 Aug
Chesham
2 : 0 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
22 Aug
Chesham
2 : 0 Walton & Hersham
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
06 Apr
Chesham
4 : 1 Slough Town
Page 1 of 3
Dover Ath.
(Away) 08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
29 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 3 Braintree
22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3 Dover Ath.
08 Aug
Billericay
2 : 0 Dover Ath.
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Red. | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Tonbridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Truro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:2 | 13 |
| 6 | Folkestone | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Dorking Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Torquay | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Salisbury | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 11 |
| 10 | Billericay | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | 11 |
| 12 | Horsham FC | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Farnham | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 14 | AFC Totton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Farnborough | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Chelmsford | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 17 | Hemel Hempstead | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Chesham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Braintree | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8:21 | 0 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:23 | 0 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
