Sport Picks
Chesham vs Dover Ath. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
37'
37'
Williams E.
50'
50'
Sheriff D.
67'
67'
Eze D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dover Ath.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chesham average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Dover Ath.'s 1.46.
- Model gives Dover Ath. a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesham | Dover Ath. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Dover Ath.
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Chesham
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Dover Ath.
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Eze D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Oliyide K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Dover Ath. Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sheriff D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesham 10 / 100
Dover Ath. 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesham Dover Ath.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dover Ath. conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.
Chesham found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Chesham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chesham VS Dover Ath.
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesham
(Home) 24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0 Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0 Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0 Forest Green
10 Oct
Chesham
0 : 5 Chelmsford
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3 Real Bedford
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0 Forest Green
10 Oct
Chesham
0 : 5 Chelmsford
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3 Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
Page 1 of 3
Dover Ath.
(Away) 24 Oct
Salisbury
1 : 1 Dover Ath.
17 Oct
Dover Ath.
3 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
10 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 1 Dorking Wanderers
03 Oct
Hanwell Town
1 : 2 Dover Ath.
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0 AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Salisbury
1 : 1 Dover Ath.
03 Oct
Hanwell Town
1 : 2 Dover Ath.
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 26:6 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Dagenham & Red. | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Billericay | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:14 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 26:18 | 20 |
| 9 | Farnham | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Folkestone | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham FC | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 14 | Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:18 | 13 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:24 | 13 |
| 20 | Chesham | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:33 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13:34 | 4 |
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
