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Chesham vs Walton & Hersham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Babos A.
55' Event
Kasimu H.

AI Match Summary

Chesham in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chesham
20%
Draws
51%
Walton & Hersham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Walton & Hersham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chesham have won more games recently than Walton & Hersham.
  • Walton & Hersham are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chesham here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chesham Clean Sheet 11%
Walton & Hersham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chesham Walton & Hersham
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Walton & Hersham
2:0
Jan 27, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Walton & Hersham
3:0
Sep 26, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Walton & Hersham vs Chesham
2:2
Sep 2, 2023 FA Cup
Walton & Hersham vs Chesham
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Babos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kasimu H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Walton & Hersham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chesham 10 / 100
Walton & Hersham 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chesham Walton & Hersham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walton & Hersham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Walton & Hersham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Chesham found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Chesham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chesham VS Walton & Hersham
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chesham

(Home)
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0
Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0
Forest Green
10 Oct
Chesham
0 : 5
Chelmsford
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3
Real Bedford
Page 1 of 6

Walton & Hersham

(Away)
24 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 0
Walton & Hersham
10 Oct
AFC Totton
0 : 1
Walton & Hersham
06 Oct
Braintree
1 : 3
Walton & Hersham
26 Sept
Walton & Hersham
2 : 2
Farnborough
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 13 8 2 3 23:14 26
2 Ebbsfleet 11 7 4 0 26:6 25
3 Truro 12 7 3 2 21:11 24
4 Dagenham & Red. 13 7 2 4 12:9 23
5 Salisbury 12 6 4 2 21:9 22
6 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
7 Tonbridge 13 6 3 4 24:14 21
8 Dorking Wanderers 12 5 5 2 26:18 20
9 Farnham 12 6 2 4 23:16 20
10 Folkestone 13 5 4 4 20:14 19
11 Dover Ath. 12 5 4 3 19:18 19
12 Weston-super-Mare 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
13 Horsham FC 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
14 Torquay 12 4 5 3 19:16 17
15 Chelmsford 11 2 9 0 17:11 15
16 Hemel Hempstead 13 3 5 5 11:14 14
17 Farnborough 12 4 2 6 10:19 14
18 Maidenhead 13 3 4 6 13:18 13
19 AFC Totton 13 4 1 8 12:24 13
20 Chesham 12 3 1 8 16:26 10
21 Braintree 12 3 1 8 18:33 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 12 2 2 8 14:30 8
23 Walton & Hersham 12 2 2 8 10:28 8
24 Slough Town 13 1 1 11 13:34 4
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