Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chester vs Bedford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chester host Bedford in the National League North. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Bedford have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Chester have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Chester have won 1 to Bedford's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back Chester to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chester
20%
Draws
46%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bedford haven't matched Chester's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Chester Clean Sheet 18%
Bedford Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chester Bedford
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Chester
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Bedford
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chester 32 / 100
Bedford 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chester Bedford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chester found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Bedford let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chester went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chester VS Bedford
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chester

(Home)
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1
Chester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 7

Bedford

(Away)
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)