Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chester vs Bury AFC

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Johnston J. In: Hardy J.
Out: Johnston J.
46'
Sub
Grand S. In: Williams M.
Out: Grand S.
46'
Sub
Cowan D. In: Livesey D.
Out: Cowan D.

AI Match Summary

Chester in this Club Friendly 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chester
30%
Draws
47%
Bury AFC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bury AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chester have won more games recently than Bury AFC.
  • Model gives Bury AFC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chester Clean Sheet 20%
Bury AFC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chester Bury AFC
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 18 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.33 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Chester vs Bury AFC
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chester Compare

Top Goalscorer Glendon G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Bury AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hunt J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Metcalfe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chester 20 / 100
Bury AFC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chester Bury AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chester scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Bury AFC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Chester went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chester VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chester

(Home)
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
31 Aug
Chester
0 : 1
Morecambe
Page 1 of 6

Bury AFC

(Away)
15 Oct
Bury AFC
1 : 2
York City
05 Oct
Bury AFC
2 : 0
Clitheroe
01 Oct
Clitheroe
1 : 1
Bury AFC
21 Sept
Bury AFC
5 : 3
Lancaster
17 Sept
Lancaster
1 : 1
Bury AFC
Page 1 of 3