Sport Picks
Chester vs Darlington FC
England
National League North 2025/2026 Deva Stadium, Chester 
Match Events
10'
10'
Mottley-Henry D.
64'
64'
Lees T.
90'
90'
Shrimpton F.
AI Match Summary
Chester in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Darlington FC at 1.75 per game, Chester at 1.25.
- Chester are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chester Clean Sheet 20%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chester | Darlington FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 National League North
Chester vs Darlington FC
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 National League North
Darlington FC vs Chester
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Darlington FC
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 National League North
Darlington FC vs Chester
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 National League North
Chester vs Darlington FC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chester Compare
Top Goalscorer Mottley-Henry D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shrimpton F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Darlington FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lees T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chester 40 / 100
Darlington FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chester Darlington FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chester scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Darlington FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Darlington FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chester VS Darlington FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chester
(Home) 21 Jul
Chester
0 : 1 Stoke City U21
18 Jul
Warrington Town
0 : 2 Chester
14 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Chester
11 Jul
Vauxhall
0 : 2 Chester
29 Apr
Macclesfield
2 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Chester
0 : 1 Stoke City U21
25 Apr
Chester
0 : 0 King’s Lynn
11 Apr
Chester
1 : 0 AFC Fylde
03 Apr
Chester
2 : 1 Telford
21 Mar
Chester
1 : 2 Southport
Page 1 of 3
Darlington FC
(Away) 21 Jul
Darlington FC
2 : 4 Carlisle
18 Jul
Newcastle Utd
3 : 0 Darlington FC
14 Jul
Stockton
1 : 3 Darlington FC
11 Jul
Redcar Athletic
0 : 4 Darlington FC
25 Apr
Darlington FC
1 : 3 Oxford City
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Newcastle Utd
3 : 0 Darlington FC
14 Jul
Stockton
1 : 3 Darlington FC
11 Jul
Redcar Athletic
0 : 4 Darlington FC
18 Apr
Telford
1 : 1 Darlington FC
06 Apr
South Shields
0 : 1 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)