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Chester vs Hednesford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chester host Hednesford in the National League North. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Chester at 1.24 goals for, 0.9 against; Hednesford at 1.86 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Chester have won 1 to Hednesford's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 17, 2019, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.69) point toward Hednesford. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chester
15%
Draws
49%
Hednesford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hednesford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Hednesford average 1.86 goals a game right now, well clear of Chester's 1.24.
  • Hednesford are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chester Clean Sheet 13%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chester Hednesford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2019 FA Trophy
Chester vs Hednesford
2:1
Dec 14, 2019 FA Trophy
Hednesford vs Chester
0:0
Jan 21, 2012 NPL Premier Division
Chester vs Hednesford
1:2
Aug 20, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Chester
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chester 14 / 100
Hednesford 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chester Hednesford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hednesford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chester scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Hednesford let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chester remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chester VS Hednesford
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chester

(Home)
24 Oct
South Shields
3 : 1
Chester
10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0
Bedford
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1
Chester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
Page 1 of 6

Hednesford

(Away)
24 Oct
Hednesford
2 : 0
Spalding United
17 Oct
Hednesford
3 : 2
Brackley
10 Oct
Hereford
0 : 1
Hednesford
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 12 8 2 2 24:7 26
2 Oxford City 12 7 3 2 22:8 24
3 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
4 South Shields 12 7 2 3 21:18 23
5 King’s Lynn 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
6 Hednesford 13 6 3 4 23:19 21
7 Chester 12 6 2 4 15:12 20
8 Buxton 13 6 2 5 23:23 20
9 Bedford 12 6 1 5 16:16 19
10 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
11 Morecambe 12 5 2 5 18:12 17
12 Spalding United 12 5 2 5 14:11 17
13 Chorley 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Worksop 13 5 2 6 15:20 17
15 Marine 12 5 1 6 14:13 16
16 Harborough 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
17 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
18 Merthyr Town 13 3 6 4 15:16 15
19 Radcliffe 13 5 0 8 16:21 15
20 Brackley 13 4 3 6 15:24 15
21 Telford 13 3 4 6 13:20 13
22 Darlington FC 13 3 2 8 17:24 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 12 1 4 7 12:26 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)