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Chester vs Marine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chester host Marine in the National League North. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Chester at 1.25 goals for, 0.82 against; Marine at 1.43 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Chester have won 3 to Marine's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.50, favoring Chester. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Chester
15%
Draws
53%
Marine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Chester have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Marine are scoring more at 1.43.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Chester Clean Sheet 16%
Marine Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chester Marine
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 National League North
Marine vs Chester
2:1
Nov 4, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Marine
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Marine
2:1
Dec 26, 2024 National League North
Marine vs Chester
2:3
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Marine vs Chester
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chester 31 / 100
Marine 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chester Marine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chester scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Marine has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chester went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chester VS Marine
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chester

(Home)
10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0
Bedford
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1
Chester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
Page 1 of 6

Marine

(Away)
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2
Marine
10 Oct
Marine
1 : 0
Spalding United
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0
Warrington Town
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Marine
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2
Radcliffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)