Sport Picks
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield 
Match Events
28'
28'
McFadzean K.
30'
30'
Evans C.
35'
35'
Evans C.
Assist: Davies W.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Chesterfield and Fleetwood Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fleetwood Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chesterfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chesterfield come out ahead of Fleetwood Town on wins alone.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Chesterfield taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 68%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesterfield | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesterfield Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Fleetwood Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesterfield 86 / 100
Fleetwood Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesterfield Fleetwood Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesterfield scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Fleetwood Town conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Chesterfield remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chesterfield VS Fleetwood Town
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesterfield
(Home) 24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Colchester
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Colchester
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
Page 1 of 3
Fleetwood Town
(Away) 24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1 Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2 Fleetwood Town
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Rotherham
10 Oct
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Walsall
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1 Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2 Fleetwood Town
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | York City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | 6 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
