Sport Picks
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
England
League Two SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield 
Match Events
28'
28'
McFadzean K.
30'
30'
Evans C.
35'
35'
Evans C.
Assist: Davies W.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Chesterfield and Fleetwood Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fleetwood Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fleetwood Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chesterfield come out ahead of Fleetwood Town on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Fleetwood Town taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 24%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesterfield | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesterfield Compare
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Fleetwood Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesterfield 21 / 100
Fleetwood Town 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesterfield Fleetwood Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fleetwood Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesterfield scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Fleetwood Town conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.
Solid form: Chesterfield remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chesterfield VS Fleetwood Town
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesterfield
(Home) 29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1 Chesterfield
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
08 Aug
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Chesterfield
31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
10 May
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Notts County
25 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 0 Crewe
14 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
Fleetwood Town
(Away) 29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
25 Aug
Fleetwood Town
4 : 0 Shrewsbury
22 Aug
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 Gillingham
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
08 Aug
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
18 Jul
Southport
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
11 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 5 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 3 | York City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Colchester | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Crewe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 7 |
| 6 | Oldham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 10 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 11 | Newport | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 4 |
| 12 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 14 | Swindon | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 15 | Exeter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 19 | Northampton | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 22 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 23 | Salford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
