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Chesterfield vs Nottingham

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Carlos Miguel In: Bott A.
Out: Carlos Miguel
46'
Sub
Aina O. In: Morato
Out: Aina O.
46'
Sub
Daley-Campbell V. In: Jessop L.
Out: Daley-Campbell V.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Chesterfield and Nottingham finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Chesterfield
22%
Draws
60%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nottingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Chesterfield haven't matched Nottingham's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nottingham a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 17%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chesterfield Nottingham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.86 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Nottingham
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Nottingham
0:3
Jul 16, 2013 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Nottingham
1:1
Feb 24, 2007 League One
Chesterfield vs Nottingham
1:2
Sep 2, 2006 League One
Nottingham vs Chesterfield
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chesterfield 20 / 100
Nottingham 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chesterfield Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chesterfield scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Nottingham has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Chesterfield went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chesterfield VS Nottingham
0.86 Goals Scored 2.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chesterfield

(Home)
14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2
Chesterfield
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0
Sheffield Utd
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0
Chesterfield
10 May
Chesterfield
0 : 1
Notts County
02 May
Swindon
1 : 2
Chesterfield
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Nottingham

(Away)
31 Jul
Portimonense
1 : 2
Nottingham
26 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Nottingham
22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0
Blackburn
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2
Nottingham
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Bournemouth
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