Sport Picks
Chesterfield vs Tranmere
England
League Two 2025/2026 SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield 
Match Events
17'
17'
McFadzean K.
17'
17'
Patrick O.
Penalty Missed
19'
19'
Finley S.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Chesterfield and Tranmere finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chesterfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chesterfield come out ahead of Tranmere on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Chesterfield's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 20%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesterfield | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Tranmere
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Chesterfield
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Chesterfield
4:0
Dec 7, 2024 League Two
Chesterfield vs Tranmere
3:0
Dec 1, 2012 FA Cup
Tranmere vs Chesterfield
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Naylor T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Finley S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesterfield 36 / 100
Tranmere 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesterfield Tranmere
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesterfield scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Tranmere conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Chesterfield has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chesterfield VS Tranmere
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesterfield
(Home) 14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2 Chesterfield
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
10 May
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Notts County
02 May
Swindon
1 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
10 May
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Notts County
25 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 0 Crewe
14 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Grimsby
11 Apr
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Tranmere
Page 1 of 3
Tranmere
(Away) 18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0 Blackpool
02 May
Tranmere
1 : 1 Grimsby
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0 Tranmere
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Tranmere
18 Apr
Tranmere
1 : 2 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0 Tranmere
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Tranmere
11 Apr
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Tranmere
03 Apr
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 Tranmere
14 Mar
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 Tranmere
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
