Sport Picks
Chesterfield vs York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield 
Match Events
23'
23'
McEachran G.
57'
57'
Bonis L.
Assist: McEachran G.
63'
63'
Sub
King J. In: Malcolm J.
Out: King J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Chesterfield and York City finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chesterfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chesterfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and York City come out ahead of Chesterfield on wins alone.
- Chesterfield are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 13%
York City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesterfield | York City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs York City
2:0
Mar 29, 2024 National League
York City vs Chesterfield
2:1
Oct 24, 2023 National League
Chesterfield vs York City
4:0
Apr 7, 2023 National League
Chesterfield vs York City
1:3
Oct 25, 2022 National League
York City vs Chesterfield
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonis L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Markanday D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
York City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesterfield 84 / 100
York City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesterfield York City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesterfield scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
York City has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Chesterfield went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chesterfield VS York City
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesterfield
(Home) 10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3 Barnet
Page 1 of 3
York City
(Away) 10 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Northampton
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 York City
14 Jul
Pickering Town
4 : 2 York City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 5 | York City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
