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Chiangmai United vs Bangkok FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 700th Anniversary Stadium
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Match Events

35' Event
Jeong W.
45' Event
Nantavichianrit K.
81' Event
Jeong W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 game between Chiangmai United and Bangkok FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiangmai United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Chiangmai United
28%
Draws
50%
Bangkok FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bangkok FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Chiangmai United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bangkok FC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 10%
Bangkok FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangmai United Bangkok FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 0 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Bangkok FC
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Chiangmai United
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Chiangmai United
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Bangkok FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangmai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nantavichianrit K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bangkok FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Inia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deyvison
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangmai United 22 / 100
Bangkok FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangmai United Bangkok FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangmai United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Bangkok FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chiangmai United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiangmai United VS Bangkok FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00