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Chiangmai United vs Bangkok FC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Thai League 2 2025/2026 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
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Match Events

35' Event
Jeong W.
45' Event
Nantavichianrit K.
81' Event
Jeong W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Chiangmai United and Bangkok FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiangmai United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chiangmai United
15%
Draws
37%
Bangkok FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Chiangmai United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chiangmai United a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 13%
Bangkok FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangmai United Bangkok FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 0 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Bangkok FC
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Chiangmai United
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 Thai League 2
Bangkok FC vs Chiangmai United
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Bangkok FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangmai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nantavichianrit K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bangkok FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Inia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deyvison
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangmai United 57 / 100
Bangkok FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangmai United Bangkok FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiangmai United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangmai United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Bangkok FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chiangmai United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiangmai United VS Bangkok FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangmai United

(Home)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1
Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
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Bangkok FC

(Away)
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
25 Apr
Bangkok FC
1 : 1
Trat FC
19 Apr
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3
Bangkok FC
05 Apr
Bangkok FC
2 : 0
Nakhon Si United
20 Mar
Songkhla
3 : 0
Bangkok FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)