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Chiangrai Utd vs Lamphun Warrior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiangrai Utd host Lamphun Warrior in the Thai League 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Chiangrai Utd have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Lamphun Warrior's 1.2 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Chiangrai Utd have won 2 to Lamphun Warrior's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.75) point toward Lamphun Warrior. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Chiangrai Utd
15%
Draws
65%
Lamphun Warrior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lamphun Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Chiangrai Utd haven't matched Lamphun Warrior's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lamphun Warrior a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangrai Utd Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Chiangrai Utd
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Chiangrai Utd
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Lamphun Warrior
2:0
Oct 4, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Lamphun Warrior
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangrai Utd 10 / 100
Lamphun Warrior 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangrai Utd Lamphun Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lamphun Warrior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangrai Utd's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lamphun Warrior conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Chiangrai Utd went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiangrai Utd VS Lamphun Warrior
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangrai Utd

(Home)
24 Oct
Pathum United
2 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
21 Oct
Burapha United
1 : 2
Chiangrai Utd
18 Oct
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Oct
Prachuap
2 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
Page 1 of 6

Lamphun Warrior

(Away)
25 Oct
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 1
Pattani
20 Oct
Suphanburi FC
0 : 4
Lamphun Warrior
16 Oct
Ayutthaya United
0 : 2
Lamphun Warrior
11 Oct
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 2
Bangkok Utd
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port MTI FC 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
2 Prachuap 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Buriram United F.C. 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
4 Ratchaburi 6 3 1 2 12:6 10
5 Uthai Thani 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
6 Ayutthaya United 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Bangkok Utd 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Sisaket United 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
9 Pathum United 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
10 Sukhothai 6 3 0 3 10:13 9
11 Rayong FC 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
12 Lamphun Warrior 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
13 Chiangrai Utd 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
14 Pattani 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
15 Chonburi 6 1 0 5 6:10 3
16 Rasisalai United 6 0 1 5 8:19 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)