Sport Picks
Chiangrai Utd vs Port MTI FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai 
Match Events
8'
8'
Kaka Mendes
Assist: Bureerat S.
45'
45'
Kanitsribampen W.
65'
65'
Falkesgaard M.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Chiangrai Utd and Port MTI FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port MTI FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiangrai Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Port MTI FC come out ahead of Chiangrai Utd on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Chiangrai Utd's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chiangrai Utd | Port MTI FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 21 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.93 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Port MTI FC
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Port MTI FC
1:0
Aug 19, 2024 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Chiangrai Utd
5:1
Apr 24, 2024 League Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Port MTI FC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chiangrai Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Port MTI FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaka Mendes
1 Goals Assists Leader Kanitsribampen W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chiangrai Utd 49 / 100
Port MTI FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chiangrai Utd Port MTI FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chiangrai Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chiangrai Utd's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Port MTI FC conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Chiangrai Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chiangrai Utd VS Port MTI FC
0.86 Goals Scored 1.88
0.29 Goals Conceded 1
29% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chiangrai Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1 Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1 Sisaket United
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Uthai Thani
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0 Ratchaburi
25 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
2 : 0 Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 3
Port MTI FC
(Away) 20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2 Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1 Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2 Port MTI FC
29 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2 Port MTI FC
29 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
01 Aug
Persebaya
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
