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Chiangrai Utd vs Port MTI FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kaka Mendes
Assist: Bureerat S.
45'
Kanitsribampen W.
65'
Falkesgaard M.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Chiangrai Utd and Port MTI FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port MTI FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chiangrai Utd
44%
Draws
20%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Port MTI FC come out ahead of Chiangrai Utd on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangrai Utd Port MTI FC
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 18
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Port MTI FC
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Port MTI FC
1:0
Aug 19, 2024 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Chiangrai Utd
5:1
Apr 24, 2024 League Cup
Chiangrai Utd vs Port MTI FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaka Mendes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanitsribampen W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangrai Utd 35 / 100
Port MTI FC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangrai Utd Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangrai Utd's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Chiangrai Utd remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Port MTI FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chiangrai Utd VS Port MTI FC
1 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangrai Utd

(Home)
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
29 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Ratchaburi
25 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
2 : 0
Bangkok Utd
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

Port MTI FC

(Away)
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0
Pathum United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)