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Chiatura vs Meshakhte Tkibuli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meshakhte Tkibuli in this Liga 3 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Meshakhte Tkibuli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chiatura
35%
Draws
49%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Meshakhte Tkibuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Meshakhte Tkibuli at 0.94 per game, Chiatura at 0.83.
  • Win probability leans Meshakhte Tkibuli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Meshakhte Tkibuli have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 20%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiatura Meshakhte Tkibuli
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2021 Liga 3
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Chiatura
2:0
May 17, 2021 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:3
Sep 17, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:5
Apr 22, 2018 Liga 3
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Chiatura
2:0
Dec 2, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Chiatura
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiatura 10 / 100
Meshakhte Tkibuli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiatura Meshakhte Tkibuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meshakhte Tkibuli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Chiatura scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Meshakhte Tkibuli has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Chiatura stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiatura

(Home)
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1
Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0
Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0
Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1
Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0
Chiatura
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Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Away)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)