Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chiatura vs Samegrelo

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Chiatura and Samegrelo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiatura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Chiatura
20%
Draws
60%
Samegrelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Samegrelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Samegrelo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 10%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiatura Samegrelo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Chiatura
2:1
Jun 18, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Samegrelo
2:0
Jul 24, 2017 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Samegrelo
3:1
May 22, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Chiatura
0:0
Mar 24, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chiatura vs Samegrelo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiatura 10 / 100
Samegrelo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiatura Samegrelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samegrelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chiatura scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Samegrelo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiatura VS Samegrelo
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiatura

(Home)
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1
Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0
Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0
Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1
Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0
Chiatura
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Samegrelo

(Away)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)