Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

Chiba

2 - 1

Kashiwa Reysol

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Sub

de Souza Junior C. A. In: Issaka Z.

Out: de Souza Junior C. A.

42'

Nakagawa N.

48'

Tsukui T.

Assist: Eduardo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chiba in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Chiba

Draws

90%

Kashiwa Reysol

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Chiba haven't matched Kashiwa Reysol's recent run of results.
Kashiwa Reysol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Chiba Clean Sheet 20%

Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chiba	Kashiwa Reysol
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	16
Draws	3	0
Losses	18	14
Goals Scored	1	0.38
Goals Conceded	2	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba

4:2

Mar 7, 2026 J1 League

Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol

2:1

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly

Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba

2:1

Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly

Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol

0:3

Feb 18, 2024 Club Friendly

Kashiwa Reysol vs Chiba

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsukui T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ishikawa D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Kubo T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 10 / 100

Kashiwa Reysol 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chiba Kashiwa Reysol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Chiba scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kashiwa Reysol let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Chiba has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Kashiwa Reysol

1 Goals Scored 0.38

2 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 25%

50% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)

06 Jun

Chiba

1 : 2

Avispa Fukuoka

30 May

Avispa Fukuoka

2 : 2

Chiba

23 May

Kashiwa Reysol

4 : 2

Chiba

17 May

Chiba

0 : 2

Kashima Antlers

10 May

Chiba

0 : 2

Machida Zelvia

Page 1 of 6

Kashiwa Reysol

(Away)

06 Jun

Kashiwa Reysol

0 : 1

Kyoto

30 May

Kyoto

2 : 6

Kashiwa Reysol

23 May

Kashiwa Reysol

4 : 2

Chiba

16 May

Yokohama F. Marinos

0 : 1

Kashiwa Reysol

10 May

Kashiwa Reysol

1 : 0

Kawasaki Frontale

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)