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Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiba host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League. Yokohama F. Marinos are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Chiba at 1.07 goals for, 1.96 against; Yokohama F. Marinos at 1.75 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Yokohama F. Marinos slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.69) point toward Yokohama F. Marinos. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Chiba
20%
Draws
61%
Yokohama F. Marinos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Yokohama F. Marinos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Yokohama F. Marinos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chiba Clean Sheet 13%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiba Yokohama F. Marinos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Chiba
2:0
Aug 29, 2009 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Chiba
1:1
May 23, 2009 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
Nov 23, 2008 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 14 / 100
Yokohama F. Marinos 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiba Yokohama F. Marinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yokohama F. Marinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Yokohama F. Marinos has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Chiba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Yokohama F. Marinos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)
07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0
Chiba
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2
Chiba
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Yokohama F. Marinos

(Away)
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
4 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)