Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2018

Chibuto

1 - 0

1º de Maio de Quelimane

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2018 game between Chibuto and 1º de Maio de Quelimane finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chibuto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Chibuto

33%

Draws

40%

1º de Maio de Quelimane

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Chibuto carry the better recent record into this one.
1º de Maio de Quelimane are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Mocambola 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Chibuto here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Chibuto Clean Sheet 20%

1º de Maio de Quelimane Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chibuto	1º de Maio de Quelimane
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	8
Draws	4	8
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2018 Mocambola

Chibuto vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

May 6, 2018 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Chibuto

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Jun 21, 2017 Mocambola

Chibuto vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Mar 12, 2017 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Chibuto

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Sep 11, 2016 Mocambola

Chibuto vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chibuto 28 / 100

1º de Maio de Quelimane 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chibuto 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chibuto found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

1º de Maio de Quelimane has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Chibuto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chibuto VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	30	17	7	6	38:26	58
2	Ferroviario Maputo	30	17	3	10	30:23	54
3	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	6	9	37:25	51
4	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	8	9	46:34	47
5	Maxaquene	30	11	11	8	34:28	44
6	Chibuto	30	11	10	9	39:24	43
7	Textafrica	30	11	9	10	26:34	42
8	Costa do Sol	30	9	13	8	24:17	40
9	Ferroviario Beira	30	10	9	11	37:28	39
10	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	8	12	24:23	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	10	8	12	21:26	38
12	Incomati Xinavane	30	8	11	11	19:21	35
13	Ferroviario Nacala	30	8	11	11	18:26	35
14	UP de Manica	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
15	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	8	8	14	24:36	32
16	Sporting Nampula	30	4	8	18	19:55	20