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MLS Next Pro 2025 SeatGeek Stadium

New York City II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire II play New York City II in the MLS Next Pro 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chicago Fire II averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. New York City II averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Chicago Fire II won 1, New York City II won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Chicago Fire II and 1.81 for New York City II. This points to a Chicago Fire II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Chicago Fire II

15%

Draws

41%

New York City II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago Fire II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Chicago Fire II picked up more points recently compared to New York City II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 11%

New York City II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chicago Fire II	New York City II
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	13
Draws	1	0
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.93	1.83
Goals Conceded	2.04	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro

New York City II vs Chicago Fire II

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sep 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Chicago Fire II vs New York City II

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

4:5

Aug 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro

New York City II vs Chicago Fire II

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

3:4

May 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro

New York City II vs Chicago Fire II

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 4 - 0

3:2

Aug 24, 2024 MLS Next Pro

New York City II vs Chicago Fire II

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Shokalook J.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Poreba D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Musu S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ponce J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire II 42 / 100

New York City II 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chicago Fire II New York City II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chicago Fire II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chicago Fire II attacking → ← attacking New York City II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire II scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

New York City II let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Chicago Fire II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

New York City II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 39

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	19	9	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	20	8	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	19	9	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	17	11	69:58	48
5	FC Cincinnati 2	28	16	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	12	16	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	11	17	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	6	22	40:64	22

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	18	10	42:36	53
2	Huntsville City	28	18	10	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	13	15	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	11	17	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	13	15	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	10	18	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	7	21	40:72	25

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes II	28	18	10	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	17	11	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	15	13	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	13	15	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	12	16	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	12	16	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC 2	28	11	17	47:61	33

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	22	6	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	16	12	55:40	51
3	Minnesota United 2	28	14	14	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	15	13	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	13	15	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	13	15	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	5	23	30:67	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	19	9	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	20	8	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	19	9	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	18	10	42:36	53
5	Huntsville City	28	18	10	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	17	11	69:58	48
7	FC Cincinnati 2	28	16	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	13	15	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	12	16	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	11	17	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	13	15	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	11	17	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	10	18	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	7	21	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	6	22	40:64	22

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	22	6	60:37	62
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	28	18	10	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	16	12	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	17	11	55:42	51
5	Minnesota United 2	28	14	14	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	15	13	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	15	13	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	13	15	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	13	15	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	12	16	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	13	15	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	12	16	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC 2	28	11	17	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	5	23	30:67	17