Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire vs Chicago House

USA USA

US Open Cup 2023 Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Przybylko K.
Assist: Navarro M.
37' Event
Burks K.
Assist: Aceves A.
43'
Smith A. R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Chicago Fire advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chicago Fire
30%
Draws
47%
Chicago House
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chicago House

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Chicago Fire carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Chicago Fire have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chicago Fire, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 68%
Chicago House Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Chicago House
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2023 US Open Cup
Chicago Fire vs Chicago House
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Burks K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Przybylko K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Chicago House Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 41 / 100
Chicago House 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Chicago House

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chicago Fire Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Chicago House let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chicago Fire stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Fire

(Home)
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4
Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 7

Chicago House

(Away)
21 Mar
Chicago House
0 : 3
Minnesota United 2
27 Apr
Chicago Fire
3 : 0
Chicago House
11 Apr
Forward Madison
2 : 3
Chicago House
23 Mar
Chicago House
1 : 0
Bavarian United SC
21 Nov
Chicago House
1 : 3
California United
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Austin FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico -
TBD -
UDA Soccer 1
Park City 0
Phoenix Rising -
TBD -
TBD -
Greenville Triumph -
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forward Madison -
TBD -
Chicago House 1
Bavarian United SC 0
St. Louis City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Omaha -
TBD -
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
Club de Lyon 2 0
Nona 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
Tulsa Athletic 1
Twin City Toucans 0
Detroit City -
TBD -
TBD -
Gold Star FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
Project 51O 0
Crossfire Redmond 3
Oakland Roots -
TBD -
El Farolito 3
International San Francisco 0
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
TBD -
TBD -
Northern Colorado -
Portland Timbers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
Ventura 1
Capo 4
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
TBD -
LA Force -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
Central Valley Fuego -
TBD -
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Diego Loyal -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion San Diego -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers -
TBD -
Cleveland 1
Lionsbridge 0
FC Cincinnati -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
TBD -
Lexington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartford Athletic -
TBD -
Hartford City FC 1
Lansdowne Yonkers 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochester New York -
Maryland Bobcats -
TBD -
West Chester United 1
Ocean City 3
Loudoun United -
TBD -
TBD -
North Carolina FC -
Flower City Union -
TBD -
Manhattan 2
Motown 1
Columbus Crew -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
TBD -
Michigan Stars -
Chattanooga Red Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion -
Tennessee Tempo 0
Menace 3
TBD -
Chattanooga -
Atlanta United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
One Knoxville -
TBD -
TBD -
Memphis 901 -
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
Miami FC -
TBD -
Jacksonville Armada U23 2
Miami United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Miami -
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
Savannah Clovers -
Charlotte Independence -
TBD -
Appalachian FC 3
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
Nashville SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club de Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Dallas -
1/64-finals
Austin FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New Mexico 6
UDA Soccer 0
Phoenix Rising 1
Greenville Triumph 0
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
Forward Madison 2
Chicago House 3
St. Louis City -
TBD -
Union Omaha 2
El Paso Locomotive 0
Tampa Bay 2
Nona 0
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
FC Tulsa 0
Tulsa Athletic 1
Detroit City 1
Gold Star FC 0
TBD -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Sacramento Republic 5
Crossfire Redmond 4
Oakland Roots 3
El Farolito 1
Colorado Rapids -
TBD -
Colorado Springs 1
Northern Colorado 3
Portland Timbers -
TBD -
Orange County SC 5
Capo 0
Las Vegas Lights 4
LA Force 0
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
Central Valley Fuego 1
Monterey Bay 3
TBD -
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
San Diego Loyal 2
Albion San Diego 0
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 3
Cleveland 2
FC Cincinnati -
TBD -
Louisville City 1
Lexington 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
Hartford Athletic 3
Lansdowne Yonkers 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Rochester New York 0
Maryland Bobcats 3
Ocean City 2
Loudoun United 2
North Carolina FC 1
Flower City Union 3
Manhattan 1
Columbus Crew -
TBD -
Indy Eleven 3
Michigan Stars 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 1
Birmingham Legion 4
Menace 1
Chattanooga 4
Atlanta United -
TBD -
One Knoxville 1
Memphis 901 2
Charlotte FC -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta 2
Rio Grande Valley FC Toros 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando City -
Miami FC 3
Jacksonville Armada U23 1
TBD -
Inter Miami -
Charleston 4
Savannah Clovers 1
Charlotte Independence 2
Appalachian FC 0
Nashville SC -
TBD -
Club de Lyon 1
San Antonio FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Dallas -
1/32-finals
Austin FC -
TBD -
New Mexico 2
Phoenix Rising 1
Chicago Fire 3
Chicago House 0
St. Louis City 5
Union Omaha 1
Tampa Bay 0
Houston Dynamo 1
Sporting Kansas City 3
Tulsa Athletic 0
Detroit City 1
Minnesota United 3
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Sacramento Republic 1
Oakland Roots 0
Colorado Rapids 3
Northern Colorado 1
Portland Timbers 3
Orange County SC 1
Las Vegas Lights 1
Real Salt Lake 3
Monterey Bay 1
San Jose Earthquakes 0
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
Seattle Sounders 5
San Diego Loyal 4
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
DC United 1
Richmond Kickers 0
FC Cincinnati 1
Louisville City 0
TBD -
New York City -
New England Revolution 2
Hartford Athletic 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Maryland Bobcats 0
Loudoun United 5
Flower City Union 0
Columbus Crew 1
Indy Eleven 0
Birmingham Legion 2
Chattanooga 1
Atlanta United 1
Memphis 901 2
Charlotte FC 4
South Georgia Tormenta 1
TBD -
Orlando City -
Miami FC 2
Inter Miami 3
Charleston 1
Charlotte Independence 0
Nashville SC 1
San Antonio FC 0
TBD -
FC Dallas -
1/16-finals
Austin FC 2
New Mexico 0
Chicago Fire 2
St. Louis City 1
Houston Dynamo 1
Sporting Kansas City 0
Minnesota United 4
Philadelphia Union 3
Sacramento Republic 2
Colorado Rapids 4
Portland Timbers 3
Real Salt Lake 4
Monterey Bay 2
Los Angeles FC 3
Los Angeles Galaxy 3
Seattle Sounders 1
New York Red Bulls 1
DC United 0
FC Cincinnati 1
New York City 0
New England Revolution 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Loudoun United 1
Columbus Crew 5
Birmingham Legion 3
Memphis 901 0
Charlotte FC 1
Orlando City 0
Inter Miami 1
Charleston 0
Nashville SC 2
FC Dallas 0
1/8-finals
Austin FC 0
Chicago Fire 2
Houston Dynamo 4
Minnesota United 0
Colorado Rapids 0
Real Salt Lake 1
Los Angeles FC 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
New York Red Bulls 1
FC Cincinnati 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Columbus Crew 0
Birmingham Legion 1
Charlotte FC 0
Inter Miami 2
Nashville SC 1
Quarter-finals
Chicago Fire 1
Houston Dynamo 4
Real Salt Lake 3
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
FC Cincinnati 3
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
Birmingham Legion 0
Inter Miami 1
Semi-finals
Houston Dynamo 3
Real Salt Lake 1
FC Cincinnati 3
Inter Miami 4
Final
Houston Dynamo 2
Inter Miami 1