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Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Chicago Fire Logo

Chicago Fire

1 - 2
FT
New England Revolution Logo

New England Revolution

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Turgeman D.
Assist: Yueill J.
43'
Allen N.
46'
Sub
Rogers S. In: Gutman A.
Out: Rogers S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New England Revolution in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New England Revolution.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chicago Fire
15%
Draws
48%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • New England Revolution haven't matched Chicago Fire's recent run of results.
  • New England Revolution are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 11%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire New England Revolution
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.89 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution
3:2
May 20, 2025 US Open Cup
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
1:3
May 5, 2024 MLS
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Haile-Selassie M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Turgeman D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miller P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 27 / 100
New England Revolution 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New England Revolution Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

New England Revolution's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Chicago Fire remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS New England Revolution
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Fire

(Home)
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6

New England Revolution

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
06 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 1
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)