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Chicago Fire vs Tampa Bay Mutiny

USA USA

MLS 2001
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The MLS 2001 game between Chicago Fire and Tampa Bay Mutiny finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chicago Fire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chicago Fire
6%
Draws
4%
Tampa Bay Mutiny
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chicago Fire carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chicago Fire a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS 2001 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chicago Fire have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 20%
Tampa Bay Mutiny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Tampa Bay Mutiny
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2001 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Tampa Bay Mutiny
3:1
Jul 6, 2001 MLS
Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Chicago Fire
2:3
May 4, 2001 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Tampa Bay Mutiny
2:0
Apr 27, 2001 MLS
Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Chicago Fire
0:1
Aug 25, 2000 MLS
Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Chicago Fire
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 85 / 100
Tampa Bay Mutiny 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Tampa Bay Mutiny

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Tampa Bay Mutiny let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Chicago Fire has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%