Sport Picks
Chicago Stars W vs North Carolina Courage W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Martin Stadium, Evanston, IL 
Match Events
11'
11'
Sanchez A.
Assist: Parkinson E.
17'
17'
Okafor C.
Assist: Ijeh E.
45'
45'
Bike J.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Chicago Stars W and North Carolina Courage W finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Carolina Courage W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Carolina Courage W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and North Carolina Courage W come out ahead of Chicago Stars W on wins alone.
- Model gives North Carolina Courage W a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- North Carolina Courage W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Stars W | North Carolina Courage W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 21 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.36 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:6
May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Stars W
4:0
Aug 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:3
May 17, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Chicago Stars W
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chicago Stars W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Okafor C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chicago Stars W North Carolina Courage W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
North Carolina Courage W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
North Carolina Courage W lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Chicago Stars W scored in 36% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Chicago Stars W VS North Carolina Courage W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chicago Stars W
(Home) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
23 Aug
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
09 Aug
Chicago Stars W
0 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 3
North Carolina Courage W
(Away) 03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
29 Aug
Kansas City Current W
3 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
