Sport Picks
Chicago Stars W vs Racing Louisville W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Martin Stadium, Evanston, IL 
Match Events
34'
34'
Joseph J.
Assist: Swanson M.
46'
46'
Sub
Gasper A. In: Farmer A.
Out: Gasper A.
49'
49'
Flint T.
Assist: Milliet L.
AI Match Summary
Chicago Stars W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Stars W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Racing Louisville W lately — more wins on the board than Chicago Stars W.
- Win probability leans Racing Louisville W's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Stars W | Racing Louisville W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 21 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.36 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Racing Louisville W
3:2
Aug 1, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Chicago Stars W
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Racing Louisville W vs Chicago Stars W
0:0
Oct 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Chicago Stars W
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Racing Louisville W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chicago Stars W Compare
Top Goalscorer Joseph J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Swanson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer Flint T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morris M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chicago Stars W 18 / 100
Racing Louisville W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chicago Stars W Racing Louisville W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Racing Louisville W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Louisville W let in goals in 100% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Racing Louisville W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Chicago Stars W scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chicago Stars W VS Racing Louisville W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chicago Stars W
(Home) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
23 Aug
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
09 Aug
Chicago Stars W
0 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 3
Racing Louisville W
(Away) 03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Utah Royals W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 San Diego Wave W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Angel City W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
29 Aug
San Diego Wave W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
23 Aug
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
07 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 3 Racing Louisville W
30 Jul
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
