Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Stars W vs Utah Royals W

USA USA

NWSL Women SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Huitema J.
Assist: Pinto B. A.
42'
Pinto B. A.
43' Event
Lacasse C.

AI Match Summary

Chicago Stars W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Stars W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chicago Stars W
17%
Draws
70%
Utah Royals W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Utah Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Utah Royals W lately — more wins on the board than Chicago Stars W.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Utah Royals W taking it.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 11%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Stars W Utah Royals W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Utah Royals W
3:2
Apr 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Chicago Stars W
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Utah Royals W
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Chicago Stars W
1:0
May 12, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Utah Royals W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Stars W Compare

Top Goalscorer Huitema J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Staab S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacasse C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Stars W 14 / 100
Utah Royals W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Stars W Utah Royals W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Utah Royals W conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chicago Stars W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chicago Stars W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Stars W VS Utah Royals W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Stars W

(Home)
18 Jul
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
Angel City W
11 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 0
Chicago Stars W
05 Jul
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2
Utah Royals W
31 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1
Chicago Stars W
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Utah Royals W

(Away)
19 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 0
Orlando Pride W
11 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 3
Gotham FC W
05 Jul
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2
Utah Royals W
30 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2
Utah Royals W
23 May
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
2Gotham FC W1593319:1030
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Houston Dash W1544718:2416
14Boston Legacy W1644817:2316
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)