Sport Picks
Chicago Stars W vs Washington Spirit W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Martin Stadium, Evanston, IL 
Match Events
7'
7'
Rodman T.
Assist: Hershfelt H.
33'
33'
Franklin B.
34'
34'
Sullivan A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Washington Spirit W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Washington Spirit W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Washington Spirit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Washington Spirit W lately — more wins on the board than Chicago Stars W.
- Model gives Washington Spirit W a 76% chance of winning this.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Stars W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.36 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Washington Spirit W
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Chicago Stars W
1:1
May 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Washington Spirit W
2:3
Oct 20, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Chicago Stars W
2:0
Jul 31, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
Washington Spirit W vs Chicago Stars W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chicago Stars W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodman T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tamara Bolt
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
Washington Spirit W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chicago Stars W Washington Spirit W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Washington Spirit W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Washington Spirit W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Chicago Stars W found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (28 games).
Chicago Stars W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chicago Stars W VS Washington Spirit W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chicago Stars W
(Home) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
23 Aug
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
09 Aug
Chicago Stars W
0 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 3
Washington Spirit W
(Away) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
17 Aug
Angel City W
1 : 1 Washington Spirit W
30 Jul
Utah Royals W
0 : 1 Washington Spirit W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
