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Chicago United vs Kaw Valley

USA USA

USL League Two 2022
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AI Match Summary

Chicago United host Kaw Valley in the USL League Two 2022. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Chicago United have averaged 3.88 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Kaw Valley's 2.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Chicago United have won 3 to Kaw Valley's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2022, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.56 xG vs 1.81) point toward Chicago United. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chicago United
17%
Draws
13%
Kaw Valley
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chicago United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Chicago United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kaw Valley.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Chicago United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League Two 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chicago United Clean Sheet 11%
Kaw Valley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago United Kaw Valley
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 20 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 3.88 2.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2022 USL League Two
Chicago United vs Kaw Valley
1:2
Jun 4, 2022 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs Chicago United
1:2
Jun 19, 2021 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs Chicago United
1:7
Jun 10, 2021 USL League Two
Chicago United vs Kaw Valley
4:0
Jun 18, 2020 USL League Two
Chicago United vs Kaw Valley
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago United 65 / 100
Kaw Valley 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago United Kaw Valley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago United scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Kaw Valley let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Chicago United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kaw Valley lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago United VS Kaw Valley
3.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%