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Chichester City vs Chertsey Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bridle H.
47' Event
Robertson L.
71' Event
Wilson B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Chichester City and Chertsey Town finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chichester City
30%
Draws
37%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Chichester City haven't matched Chertsey Town's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Chertsey Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chichester City Chertsey Town
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.78 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chichester City vs Chertsey Town
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bridle H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chichester City 18 / 100
Chertsey Town 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chichester City Chertsey Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chichester City scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Chertsey Town has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Chichester City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chichester City VS Chertsey Town
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chichester City

(Home)
10 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Thame United
1 : 2
Chichester City
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
Page 1 of 6

Chertsey Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 2
Chippenham Town
03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2
Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)