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Chichester City vs Havant & Waterlooville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bello I.
70' Event
Riley-Snow B.
71' Event
Lawrence J.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Chichester City and Havant & Waterlooville finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chichester City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chichester City
20%
Draws
10%
Havant & Waterlooville
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chichester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Havant & Waterlooville haven't matched Chichester City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chichester City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chichester City here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 16%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chichester City Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.71 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chichester City vs Havant & Waterlooville
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Havant & Waterlooville vs Chichester City
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Chichester City vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lawrence J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Riley-Snow B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whittingham A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chichester City 75 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chichester City Havant & Waterlooville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chichester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chichester City's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Havant & Waterlooville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Chichester City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chichester City VS Havant & Waterlooville
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chichester City

(Home)
10 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Thame United
1 : 2
Chichester City
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
Page 1 of 7

Havant & Waterlooville

(Away)
10 Oct
Wimborne
6 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)