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Chiclana vs Castilleja CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ranchero

AI Match Summary

Chiclana in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiclana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chiclana
20%
Draws
29%
Castilleja CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiclana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chiclana lately — more wins on the board than Castilleja CF.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 20%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiclana Castilleja CF
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs Castilleja CF
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Chiclana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiclana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranchero
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

Castilleja CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiclana 31 / 100
Castilleja CF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiclana Castilleja CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiclana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castilleja CF let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chiclana scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chiclana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chiclana VS Castilleja CF
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiclana

(Home)
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
13 Sept
Cordoba B
0 : 0
Chiclana
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
13 Aug
Chiclana
2 : 5
Sanluqueno
Page 1 of 6

Castilleja CF

(Away)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)