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Chiclana vs CD Utrera

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Molero P.
76' Event
Diaz J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Chiclana and CD Utrera finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Utrera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chiclana
15%
Draws
54%
CD Utrera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Utrera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chiclana's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 19%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiclana CD Utrera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs CD Utrera
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs Chiclana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiclana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

CD Utrera Compare

Top Goalscorer Molero P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiclana 36 / 100
CD Utrera 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiclana CD Utrera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiclana found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

CD Utrera has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Chiclana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chiclana VS CD Utrera
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiclana

(Home)
13 Sept
Cordoba B
0 : 0
Chiclana
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
13 Aug
Chiclana
2 : 5
Sanluqueno
12 Aug
Barbate
0 : 4
Chiclana
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
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CD Utrera

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)