Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chiclana vs Conil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Sanchez M.
78' Event
Sanchez M.
89' Event
Cruz J.

AI Match Summary

Chiclana in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiclana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chiclana
30%
Draws
34%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiclana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Conil lately — more wins on the board than Chiclana.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Chiclana taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 18%
Conil Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiclana Conil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs Conil
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Chiclana
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiclana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiclana 36 / 100
Conil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiclana Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiclana's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Conil conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Chiclana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiclana VS Conil
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiclana

(Home)
10 May
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
2 : 1
Chiclana
03 May
Chiclana
0 : 0
Pozoblanco
26 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 2
Chiclana
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1
Chiclana
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Conil

(Away)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
19 Apr
Conil
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad de Lucena34227569:2573
2Dos Hermanas341861069:3960
3Atletico Central341510936:2955
4Bollullos341411943:3553
5AD Ceuta B3414101038:3852
6Linense341313845:3252
7Cadiz B3414101050:3852
8Conil341571243:4452
9Cordoba B341281444:4444
10CD Utrera341281440:4744
11Pozoblanco3410131139:4443
12Chiclana3410131139:4543
13San Roque de Lepe3410131139:3943
14Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)3410101436:4340
15Tomares UD341091534:4639
16Sevilla C341081634:4138
17Castilleja CF34691928:6227
18Coria C.F.34492124:5921
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)