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Stadium Background

Chiclana vs Conil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Sanchez M.
78' Event
Sanchez M.
89' Event
Cruz J.

AI Match Summary

Chiclana in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiclana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chiclana
15%
Draws
48%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Conil lately — more wins on the board than Chiclana.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Chiclana taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 68%
Conil Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiclana Conil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs Conil
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Chiclana
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiclana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiclana 50 / 100
Conil 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiclana Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiclana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiclana's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Conil conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Chiclana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiclana VS Conil
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiclana

(Home)
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
13 Sept
Cordoba B
0 : 0
Chiclana
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
13 Aug
Chiclana
2 : 5
Sanluqueno
12 Aug
Barbate
0 : 4
Chiclana
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Conil

(Away)
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2
Cadiz B
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)