Sport Picks

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Chico vs Atl. Nacional

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chico host Atl. Nacional in the Primera A. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Chico at 1.13 goals for, 1.13 against; Atl. Nacional at 1.88 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Chico have won 0 to Atl. Nacional's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.50, favoring Atl. Nacional. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chico
6%
Draws
4%
Atl. Nacional
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chico are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Atl. Nacional
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 21
Draws 5 1
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Atl. Nacional
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Chico
4:0
Oct 6, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Atl. Nacional
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Chico
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Chico
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 95 / 100
Atl. Nacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Atl. Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Atl. Nacional has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Chico has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chico scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Atl. Nacional
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2
Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0
Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0
Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0
Llaneros
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Atl. Nacional

(Away)
21 Jul
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
18 Jul
Atl. Nacional
1 : 2
Dep. Tachira
08 Jun
Atl. Nacional
1 : 0
Junior
03 Jun
Junior
3 : 0
Atl. Nacional
23 May
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali11002:03
2Llaneros11001:03
3Chico00000:00
4Ind. Medellin00000:00
5America De Cali00000:00
6Santa Fe00000:00
7Inter Bogotá00000:00
8Atl. Nacional00000:00
9Bucaramanga00000:00
10Cucuta00000:00
11Dep. Pasto00000:00
12Deportes Tolima00000:00
13Junior00000:00
14Millonarios00000:00
15Once Caldas00000:00
16Aguilas Doradas00000:00
17Alianza00000:00
18Fortaleza C.E.I.F.00000:00
19Dep. Pereira10010:10
20Jaguares de Cordoba10010:20
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)