Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chico vs Dep. Pereira

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Rengifo N.
10'
Diaz J.
45'
Banguero A.

AI Match Summary

Chico in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Chico
30%
Draws
16%
Dep. Pereira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chico lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Pereira.
  • Win probability leans Chico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Dep. Pereira
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pereira
1:0
Sep 22, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pereira
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Chico
1:1
Aug 7, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Chico
1:0
Feb 5, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pereira
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dep. Pereira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 95 / 100
Dep. Pereira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Dep. Pereira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dep. Pereira conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Dep. Pereira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Dep. Pereira
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
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Dep. Pereira

(Away)
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)