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Chievo vs AC Milan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chievo host AC Milan U23 in the Serie D - Group B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Chievo have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against AC Milan U23's 1.97 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor AC Milan U23 slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.06 - 1.38) back AC Milan U23 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chievo
15%
Draws
48%
AC Milan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Milan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Chievo have won more games recently than AC Milan U23.
  • Model gives Chievo a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AC Milan U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chievo Clean Sheet 17%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo AC Milan U23
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs AC Milan U23
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs AC Milan U23
1:3
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Chievo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 57 / 100
AC Milan U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo AC Milan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chievo scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

AC Milan U23 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Chievo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS AC Milan U23
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
11 Oct
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Chievo
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 7

AC Milan U23

(Away)
11 Oct
AC Milan U23
1 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)