Sport Picks
Chievo vs Castellanzese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona 
Match Events
9'
9'
Vernocchi A.
41'
41'
D'Este N.
67'
67'
D'Este N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chievo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chievo have won more games recently than Castellanzese.
- Model gives Chievo a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Castellanzese
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Chievo
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Chievo
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Castellanzese
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chievo Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Este N.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Castellanzese Compare
Top Goalscorer Vernocchi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boccadamo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chievo 95 / 100
Castellanzese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chievo Castellanzese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chievo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Chievo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Castellanzese has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Scoring Trends
Chievo VS Castellanzese
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chievo
(Home) 17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1 AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1 Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2 Chievo
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2 Castellanzese
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1 AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1 Pavia
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2 Castellanzese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1 Vogherese
21 Mar
Chievo
3 : 1 Villa Valle
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Castellanzese
(Away) 10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2 Varesina
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
26 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 3 AC Milan U23
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2 Castellanzese
12 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 0 AC Leon
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2 Castellanzese
02 Apr
USD Casatese
1 : 0 Castellanzese
22 Mar
Pavia
1 : 0 Castellanzese
18 Mar
Varesina
2 : 2 Castellanzese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
