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Chievo vs Club Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

85'
Maurizii E.
85'
Maurizii E.
90' Event
Vuthaj D.

AI Match Summary

Chievo in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Chievo
15%
Draws
26%
Club Milano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chievo have won more games recently than Club Milano.
  • Win probability leans Chievo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chievo have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo Club Milano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Club Milano
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Club Milano vs Chievo
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Club Milano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuthaj D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paloschi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Club Milano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 95 / 100
Club Milano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo Club Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chievo scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Club Milano conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chievo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS Club Milano
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
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Club Milano

(Away)
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2
Club Milano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)