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Chievo vs Fiorenzuola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chievo host Fiorenzuola in the Serie D - Group B. Chievo go into this one as the clear favorite. Fiorenzuola have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Chievo have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.62. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.63) point toward Chievo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chievo
35%
Draws
19%
Fiorenzuola
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chievo have won more games recently than Fiorenzuola.
  • Chievo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chievo Clean Sheet 20%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo Fiorenzuola
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.62 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 67 / 100
Fiorenzuola 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo Fiorenzuola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chievo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fiorenzuola has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Chievo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Fiorenzuola registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS Fiorenzuola
2.38 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
11 Oct
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Chievo
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6

Fiorenzuola

(Away)
10 Oct
Fiorenzuola
0 : 0
Piacenza
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)