Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chievo vs Magenta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Prandini L.
59' Event
Squitieri R.
Own Goal
74' Event
de Cerchio A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Chievo and Magenta finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chievo
30%
Draws
27%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Chievo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chievo a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Magenta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo Magenta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.47 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Magenta
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Magenta vs Chievo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Prandini L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Cerchio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Magenta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 68 / 100
Magenta 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo Magenta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chievo found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Chievo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Magenta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
05 Sept
Chievo
1 : 0
Pavonese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1
AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
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Magenta

(Away)
04 May
Varesina
1 : 1
Magenta
27 Apr
Magenta
2 : 0
Sant'Angelo
17 Apr
Chievo
4 : 0
Magenta
13 Apr
Magenta
0 : 0
Sangiuliano City
06 Apr
Breno
1 : 3
Magenta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)