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Chihuahua F.C. vs Saltillo Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Tue, Mar 19, 2024
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chihuahua F.C. host Saltillo in the Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Chihuahua F.C. have averaged 1.45 scored and 0.3 conceded recently, against Saltillo's 0.93 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Saltillo slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.32 xG vs 0.99) point toward Chihuahua F.C.. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chihuahua F.C.
15%
Draws
27%
Saltillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chihuahua F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chihuahua F.C. lately — more wins on the board than Saltillo.
  • Model gives Chihuahua F.C. a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Chihuahua F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 25%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chihuahua F.C. Saltillo
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.45 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.3 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Chihuahua F.C. vs Saltillo
0:0
Oct 17, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Chihuahua F.C.
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chihuahua F.C. 59 / 100
Saltillo 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chihuahua F.C. Saltillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chihuahua F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chihuahua F.C. has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chihuahua F.C. scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Defensive concern: Saltillo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chihuahua F.C. VS Saltillo
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
13% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chihuahua F.C.

(Home)
24 Feb
Chihuahua F.C.
2 : 0
Dragones Toluca
18 Feb
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 : 1
Chihuahua F.C.
10 Feb
Chihuahua F.C.
2 : 0
Leones Negros 2
03 Feb
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1
Chihuahua F.C.
27 Jan
Chihuahua F.C.
5 : 0
Colima FC
Page 1 of 4

Saltillo

(Away)
27 Apr
Leones Negros 2
4 : 1
Saltillo
21 Apr
Saltillo
0 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
13 Apr
Colima FC
0 : 1
Saltillo
07 Apr
Saltillo
1 : 0
Tecos
29 Mar
Correcaminos 2
0 : 0
Saltillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)