Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile U23 vs Mexico U23

World World

Pan American Games Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Guerrero Pena M. G.

AI Match Summary

The Pan American Games game between Chile U23 and Mexico U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chile U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chile U23
15%
Draws
42%
Mexico U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chile U23 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chile U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U23 Mexico U23
Matches Played 27 35
Wins 15 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2023 Pan American Games
Chile U23 vs Mexico U23
1:0
Sep 7, 2011 Friendly International
Chile U23 vs Mexico U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero Pena M. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mexico U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U23 35 / 100
Mexico U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U23 Mexico U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U23's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mexico U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Chile U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chile U23 VS Mexico U23
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Chile U23
2 : 1
Paraguay U23
30 Jan
Chile U23
0 : 5
Argentina U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
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Mexico U23

(Away)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chile U23 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Mexico U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Uruguay U23 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dominican Republic U23 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
Promotion - Pan American Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 USA U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Colombia U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Honduras U23 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Pan American Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)