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Stadium Background

Chile vs Peru

World World

Friendly International 2025 Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Roman I.
34' Event
Valera A.
(Penalty)
36'
Sub
Millan L. In: Maripan G.
Out: Millan L.

AI Match Summary

Chile in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chile
15%
Draws
37%
Peru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chile lately — more wins on the board than Peru.
  • Win probability leans Chile's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Chile Clean Sheet 68%
Peru Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile Peru
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Chile vs Peru
2:1
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Chile vs Peru
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 World Championship
Peru vs Chile
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 Copa América
Peru vs Chile
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 World Championship
Chile vs Peru
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Loyola F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osorio D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Peru Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile 68 / 100
Peru 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile Peru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Chile went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chile scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chile VS Peru
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile

(Home)
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
06 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Chile
30 Mar
New Zealand
4 : 1
Chile
27 Mar
Chile
4 : 2
Cape Verde
18 Nov
Chile
2 : 1
Peru
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Peru

(Away)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
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