Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile W vs Paraguay W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Pinilla F.
46'
Sub
Valencia M. In: Balmaceda R.
Out: Valencia M.
58'
Martinez F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chile W
15%
Draws
46%
Paraguay W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chile W lately — more wins on the board than Paraguay W.
  • Model gives Paraguay W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Chile W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paraguay W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chile W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chile W Clean Sheet 20%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile W Paraguay W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.7 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:1
Dec 2, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Chile W vs Paraguay W
1:0
Jul 28, 2025 Copa América Women
Chile W vs Paraguay W
0:1
Jul 15, 2024 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Paraguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrieta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile W 20 / 100
Paraguay W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile W Paraguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Paraguay W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Chile W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chile W VS Paraguay W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile W

(Home)
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
15 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 0
Chile W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
07 Mar
Paraguay W
0 : 1
Chile W
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Paraguay W

(Away)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
09 Jun
Paraguay W
3 : 4
Colombia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Chile W 0
Paraguay W 1