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China U16 W vs Uganda U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

China U16 W play Uganda U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. China U16 W are favorites here. Recently, China U16 W averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Uganda U16 W averaged 1 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. In past meetings, China U16 W won 1, Uganda U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 16, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for China U16 W and 1.13 for Uganda U16 W. This points to a China U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
China U16 W
15%
Draws
19%
Uganda U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • China U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Uganda U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
China U16 W Clean Sheet 21%
Uganda U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U16 W Uganda U16 W
Matches Played 35 4
Wins 21 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 2.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.11 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2024 Friendly International Women
China U16 W vs Uganda U16 W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U16 W 64 / 100
Uganda U16 W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U16 W Uganda U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick China U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

China U16 W attacking → ← attacking Uganda U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U16 W scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Uganda U16 W let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

China U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uganda U16 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 3
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50