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China U17 vs Bangladesh U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with China U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
China U17
15%
Draws
54%
Bangladesh U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangladesh U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and China U17 come out ahead of Bangladesh U17 on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Bangladesh U17 taking it.
  • China U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor China U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
China U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Bangladesh U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U17 Bangladesh U17
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 3.53 2.58
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
China U17 vs Bangladesh U17
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U17 10 / 100
Bangladesh U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U17 Bangladesh U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U17 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Bangladesh U17 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 19 outings.

Solid form: China U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

China U17 VS Bangladesh U17
5.63 Goals Scored 4
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

China U17

(Home)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
China U17
0 : 2
Tanzania U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
Page 1 of 6

Bangladesh U17

(Away)
30 Nov
China U17
4 : 0
Bangladesh U17
28 Nov
Bangladesh U17
2 : 1
Bahrain U17
26 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
0 : 5
Bangladesh U17
24 Nov
Bangladesh U17
8 : 0
Brunei U17
22 Nov
Bangladesh U17
5 : 0
Timor-Leste U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)