Sport Picks

Stadium Background

China U17 vs Qatar U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 King Abdullah Sports City Training Stadium (Pitch C), Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Yaghmour T.
14' Event
He Sifan
Assist: Wan Xiang
35'
Pan Chaowei

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with China U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
China U17
15%
Draws
39%
Qatar U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and China U17 come out ahead of Qatar U17 on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on China U17 taking it.
  • China U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor China U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
China U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U17 Qatar U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 3.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 3.53 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
China U17 vs Qatar U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer He Sifan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhang Bolin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.72
Avg xA / game 1.76

Qatar U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U17 76 / 100
Qatar U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U17 Qatar U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U17's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Qatar U17 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: China U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U17 VS Qatar U17
5.63 Goals Scored 1.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

China U17

(Home)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
China U17
0 : 2
Tanzania U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
Page 1 of 6

Qatar U17

(Away)
12 May
China U17
2 : 0
Qatar U17
09 May
Qatar U17
2 : 0
Indonesia U17
05 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Qatar U17
26 Jan
Qatar U17
2 : 3
PSG U17
21 Jan
Qatar U17
2 : 1
Rangers U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U17 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Tajikistan U17 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
3 Thailand U17 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
4 Myanmar U17 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 China U17 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
3 Qatar U17 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Indonesia U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
2 South Korea U17 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Yemen U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 United Arab Emirates U17 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Australia U17 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 India U17 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 North Korea U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)