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China U17 W vs Colombia U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

China U17 W play Colombia U17 W in the World Cup Women U17 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, China U17 W averaged 2.04 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Colombia U17 W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, China U17 W won 1, Colombia U17 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 15, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for China U17 W and 0.81 for Colombia U17 W. This points to a China U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
China U17 W
19%
Draws
36%
Colombia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: China U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • China U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Colombia U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
China U17 W Clean Sheet 26%
Colombia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U17 W Colombia U17 W
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.04 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 World Cup Women U17
China U17 W vs Colombia U17 W
0:2
Mar 24, 2014 World Cup Women U17
Colombia U17 W vs China U17 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Colombia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U17 W 46 / 100
Colombia U17 W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U17 W Colombia U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: China U17 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

China U17 W attacking → ← attacking Colombia U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U17 W scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Colombia U17 W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

China U17 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Colombia U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 42
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USA U17 W321013:17
2Brazil U17 W32107:17
3Morocco U17 W31023:53
4India U17 W30030:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U17 W330011:29
2Nigeria U17 W32017:36
3Chile U17 W31024:93
4New Zealand U17 W30032:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colombia U17 W32014:26
2Spain U17 W32013:26
3Mexico U17 W31024:53
4China U17 W31022:43
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U17 W330010:09
2Tanzania U17 W31113:64
3Canada U17 W30212:62
4France U17 W30122:51