Sport Picks

Stadium Background

China U20 vs Australia U20

World World

Friendly International Yiwu Meihu Stadium, Yiwu
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Macallister M.
31'
Tilo G.
46'
Sub
Zhang Jiaming In: Miao Rundong
Out: Zhang Jiaming

AI Match Summary

Australia U20 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Australia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
China U20
15%
Draws
46%
Australia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Australia U20 lately — more wins on the board than China U20.
  • Model gives Australia U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
China U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Australia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U20 Australia U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.43 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
China U20 vs Australia U20
2:4
Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
China U20 vs Australia U20
1:0
Feb 18, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
China U20 vs Australia U20
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 Friendly International
China U20 vs Australia U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Mingrui
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Australia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoniou P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dobson W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U20 15 / 100
Australia U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U20 Australia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U20's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Australia U20 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: China U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U20 VS Australia U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

China U20

(Home)
07 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
05 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 1
China U20
02 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
D.R. Congo U20
31 May
China U20
1 : 0
Saudi Arabia U21
31 Mar
China U20
2 : 4
Australia U20
Page 1 of 6

Australia U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Australia U20
0 : 2
Indonesia U20
03 Sept
Malaysia U20
2 : 2
Australia U20
31 Aug
Australia U20
2 : 0
Laos U20
31 Mar
China U20
2 : 4
Australia U20
28 Mar
China U20
1 : 0
Australia U20
Page 1 of 6