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China U20 vs Uzbekistan U20

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

China U20 play Uzbekistan U20 in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, China U20 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Uzbekistan U20 averaged 1.87 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, China U20 won 1, Uzbekistan U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for China U20 and 1.19 for Uzbekistan U20. This points to a Uzbekistan U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
China U20
22%
Draws
42%
Uzbekistan U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Uzbekistan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • China U20 picked up more points recently compared to Uzbekistan U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
China U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Uzbekistan U20 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U20 Uzbekistan U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Friendly International
China U20 vs Uzbekistan U20
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Friendly International
China U20 vs Uzbekistan U20
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Friendly International
China U20 vs Uzbekistan U20
2:3
Sep 16, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
China U20 vs Uzbekistan U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jia Weiwei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Uzbekistan U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U20 36 / 100
Uzbekistan U20 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U20 Uzbekistan U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uzbekistan U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

China U20 attacking → ← attacking Uzbekistan U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Uzbekistan U20 let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

China U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 55
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38